Probabilities & picks · 17 October 2026
90 matches from the day's offer. Each comes with the odds, the fair market probability (odds with the bookmaker's margin removed), our preferred option and — once played — the result. Numbers are recorded before the first kick-off and never changed afterwards.
Results pending — this page is completed the next day.
Stakes of the day
| League | Match | Result | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | AS Roma – Genoa CFC | ⏳ pending | 1 · AS Roma | 1.65 |
| ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Bologna FC – Inter Milano | ⏳ pending | 2 · Inter Milano | 1.60 |
| ⚽ Njemačka - BUNDESLIGA | Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund | ⏳ pending | 2 · Borussia Dortmund | 1.55 |
| 🏒 NHL | Winnipeg Jets – Carolina Hurricanes | ⏳ pending | 2 · Carolina Hurricanes | 1.55 |
| 🏒 NHL | Florida Panthers – Seattle Kraken | ⏳ pending | 2 · Seattle Kraken | 2.40 |
| ⚽ Hrvatska - SHNL | Lokomotiva ZG – Istra 1961 Pula | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.50 |
Three tickets of the day
Safe
- AS Roma – Genoa CFC · 12 · 1.30
- NK Osijek – HNK Gorica · 12 · 1.30
- Botafogo RJ – Chapecoense SC · 1 · Botafogo RJ · 1.33
total odds: 2.25 · announced probability of winning: 44.2%
⏳ pending
Medium
- Lokomotiva ZG – Istra 1961 Pula · 1X · 1.50
- Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund · 2 · Borussia Dortmund · 1.55
- Bologna FC – Inter Milano · 2 · Inter Milano · 1.60
total odds: 3.72 · announced probability of winning: 28.8%
⏳ pending
Riskier
- Florida Panthers – Seattle Kraken · 2 · Seattle Kraken · 2.40
- Cleveland Guardians – Tampa Bay Rays · 1 · Cleveland Guardians · 2.00
- Everton – Chelsea FC · under 2.5 · 2.30
total odds: 11.04 · announced probability of winning: 8.3%
⏳ pending
Picks by match
| Start | League | Match | Result | Pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Rating | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 🏒 NHL | Florida Panthers – Seattle Kraken | ⏳ pending | 2 · Seattle Kraken | 2.40 | 39.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 01:00 | ⚽ Meksiko - LIGA MX | Club Santos Laguna – Queretaro FC | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.33 | 70.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 02:00 | ⚾ MLB | Cleveland Guardians – Tampa Bay Rays | ⏳ pending | 1 · Cleveland Guardians | 2.00 | 48.1% | ⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 04:00 | ⚽ Kostarika - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA, APERTURA | Inter San Carlos – LD Alajuelense | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.27 | 74.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 04:00 | 🏒 NHL | Vegas Golden Knights – Pittsburgh Penguins | ⏳ pending | 1 · Vegas Golden Knights | 1.40 | 67.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 11:30 | ⚽ Estonija - PREMIUM LIIGA | Nomme Utd – Nomme Kalju | ⏳ pending | 2 · Nomme Kalju | 1.65 | 57.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 11:30 | ⚽ Rumunjska - LIGA II | SCM Ramnicu Valcea – ASU Politehnica Timisoara | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.22 | 77.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 12:00 | ⚽ Sjeverna Makedonija - 1. MFL | KF Shkendija Haracine – Struga Trim Lum | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.22 | 77.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 12:00 | ⚽ Ukrajina - PREMIER LEAGUE | Zorya Luhansk – FC Chernomorets Odessa | ⏳ pending | 1 · Zorya Luhansk | 1.45 | 66.0% | ⭐ | 🔴 | |
| 12:30 | ⚽ Turska - SUPER LIGA | Erzurumspor – Eyupspor | ⏳ pending | 1 · Erzurumspor | 1.50 | 64.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 12:45 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SUPERSPORT PRVA NL | Jadran Luka Ploce – NK Dugopolje | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.24 | 75.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Njemacka - 2. BUNDESLIGA | 1.FC Kaiserslautern – VfL Bochum | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 74.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Kina - SUPER LIGA | Dalian Young Boy – Shenzhen Peng City | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.20 | 79.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Finska - VEIKKAUSLIIGA | FC Lahti – TPS Turku | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.22 | 77.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Latvija - VIRSLIGA | Grobinas SC – Ogre Utd | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.22 | 77.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:00 | 🎾 ATP - SHANGHAI | Jodar Rafael – Medvedev Daniil | ⏳ pending | 2 · Medvedev Daniil | 1.55 | 64.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Rusija - PREMIER LEAGUE | Krylia Sovetov Samara – Fakel Voronezh | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.24 | 75.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Svedska - SUPERETTAN | Ljungskile SK – IK Brage | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.35 | 68.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Everton – Chelsea FC | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 75.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Engleska - CHAMPIONSHIP | Middlesbrough – Cardiff | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.36 | 70.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Gruzija - EROVNULI LIGA | Samgurali Tskaltubo – FC Meshakhte Tkibuli | ⏳ pending | 1 · Samgurali Tskaltubo | 1.55 | 60.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Albanija - KATEGORIA SUPERIORE | Tirana – Laci | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.21 | 75.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Medunarodne Klubovi - CAF LIGA PRVAKA, KVALIFIKACIJE | Cffa – Young Africans SC | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.61 | 58.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Espanyol – Atletico Madrid | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 77.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 2 | FC Metz – Sochaux | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 75.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Norveska - ELITESERIEN | Ham Kam – Bodo/Glimt | ⏳ pending | 2 · Bodo/Glimt | 1.23 | 79.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Island - URVALSDEILD | Keflavik IF – KR Reykjavik | ⏳ pending | 2 · KR Reykjavik | 1.55 | 61.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA 2 | Real Sociedad B – UD Almeria | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.27 | 73.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 14:30 | ⚽ Madarska - NB I | Nyiregyhaza Spar. – Budapest Honved | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.24 | 76.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:45 | ⚽ Poljska - EKSTRAKLASA | Motor Lublin – Slask Wroclaw | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.23 | 77.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE B | Ascoli 1898 – Empoli FC | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.20 | 79.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Urugvaj - PRIMERA DIVISION | CA Progreso – Juventud Piedras | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.30 | 71.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Srbija - SUPERLIGA | FK Cukaricki Beograd – FK Zemun | ⏳ pending | 1 · FK Cukaricki Beograd | 1.40 | 68.4% | 63.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Ceska - 1. LIGA | FK Pardubice – FC Zlin | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 77.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Uzbekistan - SUPERLIGA | Lokomotiv Tashkent – FC Nasaf | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 75.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SHNL | Lokomotiva ZG – Istra 1961 Pula | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.50 | 66.8% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Slovenija - 1. SNL | NK Bravo – NK Radomlje | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.22 | 77.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Turska - TFF 1. LIG | Sivasspor – AS Sariyer | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.27 | 73.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Venezia – SSC Napoli | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 77.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Tunis - LIGUE 1 | ES Hammam Sousse – US Ben Guerdane | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.35 | 68.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | Elversberg 07 – FC Augsburg | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.50 | 63.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | Hamburger SV – VfB Stuttgart | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.40 | 68.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | Schalke 04 – 1.FSV Mainz | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 74.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund | ⏳ pending | 2 · Borussia Dortmund | 1.55 | 62.0% | 65.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | Werder Bremen – SC Paderborn 07 | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 77.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Grcka - SUPER LIGA 1 | APO Levadiakos – Volos FC | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.30 | 71.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Skotska - PREMIERSHIP | Aberdeen – St. Mirren | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.23 | 77.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Jordan - PRO LEAGUE | Al Faisaly – Ramtha SC | ⏳ pending | 1 · Al Faisaly | 1.42 | 67.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Sjeverna Irska - PREMIERSHIP | Ballymena Utd – Crusaders FC | ⏳ pending | 1 · Ballymena Utd | 1.60 | 59.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Brentford FC – Liverpool FC | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.57 | 60.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Fulham – Hull City | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 77.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Manchester City – Ipswich Town | ⏳ pending | 1 · Manchester City | 1.20 | 81.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 16:15 | ⚽ Rumunjska - LIGA I | Petrolul Ploiesti – Sepsi OSK | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.28 | 72.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 16:15 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Villarreal – Elche CF | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 16:30 | ⚽ Nizozemska - EREDIVISIE | ADO Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.25 | 76.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Irak - STARS LEAGUE | Al Julan – Duhok | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.28 | 72.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Austrija - BUNDESLIGA | Austria Lustenau – LASK Linz | ⏳ pending | 2 · LASK Linz | 1.35 | 71.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:15 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Strasbourg – Paris SG | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.33 | 71.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 17:30 | ⚽ Svedska - ALLSVENSKAN | AIK Stockholm – IFK Goteborg | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.50 | 61.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 17:30 | ⚽ Iran - PRO LIGA | Sanat Naft Abadan – Aluminium Arak | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 74.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:40 | ⚽ Saudijska Arabija - PRO LEAGUE | Neom SC – Al Ettifaq | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 75.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:45 | ⚽ Izrael - PREMIER LEAGUE | Hapoel Tel Aviv – Ironi Tiberias | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.53 | 61.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Bologna FC – Inter Milano | ⏳ pending | 2 · Inter Milano | 1.60 | 60.4% | 65.4% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Maroko - BOTOLA | CODM Meknes – Union Touarga | ⏳ pending | under 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Alzir - LIGUE 1 | CS Constantine – JS El Biar | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 76.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SHNL | NK Osijek – HNK Gorica | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.30 | 76.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | Bayern Munchen – RB Leipzig | ⏳ pending | 1 · Bayern Munchen | 1.20 | 81.6% | 76.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Ekvador - SERIE A | Libertad Loja – Guayaquil City FC | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.22 | 77.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Newcastle – Aston Villa | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 74.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Real Betis – FC Barcelona | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.20 | 83.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Kanada - PREMIER LEAGUE | Atletico Ottawa – Forge FC Hamilton | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.20 | 79.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 19:30 | ⚽ Argentina - PRIMERA NACIONAL | Chacarita Juniors – CD Maipu | ⏳ pending | under 2.5 | 1.40 | 67.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:00 | ⚽ Argentina - LIGA PROFESIONAL | CA Banfield – Argentinos Juniors | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.25 | 75.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:30 | ⚽ SAD - MLS | Philadelphia Union – Charlotte FC | ⏳ pending | 1 · Philadelphia Union | 1.45 | 66.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | AS Roma – Genoa CFC | ⏳ pending | 1 · AS Roma | 1.65 | 60.7% | 65.7% | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Lille OSC – Brest | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.28 | 73.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Troyes – Lens | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 77.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Bolivija - DIVISION PROFESIONAL | Cdt Real Oruro – Club Aurora | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.48 | 63.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Valencia CF – Athletic Bilbao | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.35 | 69.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 21:30 | ⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE B | Ceara SC CE – Juventude RS | ⏳ pending | under 2.5 | 1.50 | 62.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:30 | 🏒 NHL | Winnipeg Jets – Carolina Hurricanes | ⏳ pending | 2 · Carolina Hurricanes | 1.55 | 60.3% | 65.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Peru - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | ADC Juan Pablo II – Sport Boys Association | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.32 | 70.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Kolumbija - PRIMERA A | Boyaca Chico – Atletico Nacional Medellin | ⏳ pending | 2 · Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1.45 | 66.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Venezuela - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | Deportivo La Guaira – Trujillanos | ⏳ pending | 1 · Deportivo La Guaira | 1.55 | 61.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Paragvaj - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | Guarani Asuncion – Nacional Asuncion | ⏳ pending | under 2.5 | 1.53 | 61.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 22:00 | 🏒 NHL | Tampa Bay Lightning – Vancouver Canucks | ⏳ pending | 1 · Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.24 | 75.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 23:00 | ⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE A | Botafogo RJ – Chapecoense SC | ⏳ pending | 1 · Botafogo RJ | 1.33 | 73.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 23:00 | ⚽ Salvador - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA, APERTURA | CD Cacahuatique – Alianza San Salvador | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.28 | 72.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 23:00 | ⚽ Honduras - LIGA NACIONAL, APERTURA | Platense FC – Motagua Tegucigalpa | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.20 | 78.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 |
⭐ is our judgement, not a measured claim: more stars have not been proven to mean a better bet. 🟢🟡🔴 shows how completely the match was processed.
Better skip
Favourites priced below 1.30 — the only class where our own records prove that backing them loses.
| League | Match | Pick | Odds | Market p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA - WUHAN | Swiatek Iga – Chwalinska Maja | 1 | 1.13 | 84.2% |