Probabilities & picks · 19 October 2026
57 matches from the day's offer. Each comes with the odds, the fair market probability (odds with the bookmaker's margin removed), our preferred option and — once played — the result. Numbers are recorded before the first kick-off and never changed afterwards.
Results pending — this page is completed the next day.
Stakes of the day
| League | Match | Result | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Parma – Torino FC | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.45 |
| ⚽ Španjolska - LA LIGA | Getafe CF – Rayo Vallecano | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.45 |
Three tickets of the day
Safe
- Corinthians SP – EC Vitoria BA · 12 · 1.30
- Eala Alexandra – Parry Diane · 1 · Eala Alexandra · 1.30
- Degerfors IF – Kalmar FF · 12 · 1.30
total odds: 2.20 · announced probability of winning: 39.7%
⏳ pending
Medium
- Paolini Jasmine – Kalinina Anhelina · 1 · Paolini Jasmine · 1.50
- Tottenham – Coventry City · 1 · Tottenham · 1.50
- Faria Jaime – Balshaw Felix · 1 · Faria Jaime · 1.55
total odds: 3.49 · announced probability of winning: 26.4%
⏳ pending
Riskier
- AC Monza – Cagliari · 1 · AC Monza · 2.40
- Parma – Torino FC · over 2.5 · 2.30
- Wisla Plock – Radomiak Radom · under 2.5 · 2.35
total odds: 12.97 · announced probability of winning: 6.9%
⏳ pending
Picks by match
| Start | League | Match | Result | Pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Rating | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | ⚽ Argentina - LIGA PROFESIONAL | CA Sarmiento – Barracas Central | ⏳ pending | under 2.5 | 1.40 | 67.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 00:05 | ⚽ Jamajka - PREMIER LEAGUE | Molynes – Cavaliers FC | ⏳ pending | 2 · Cavaliers FC | 1.55 | 61.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 00:30 | ⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE B | Goias EC GO – Nautico PE | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 76.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 01:00 | ⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE A | Corinthians SP – EC Vitoria BA | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.30 | 71.1% | 75.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 |
| 01:00 | 🏒 NHL | NY Rangers – Anaheim Ducks | ⏳ pending | 1 · NY Rangers | 1.70 | 55.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 01:00 | ⚽ Urugvaj - PRIMERA DIVISION | Nacional Montevideo – Deportivo Maldonado | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.22 | 77.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 01:00 | 🏒 NHL | Philadelphia Flyers – Colorado Avalanche | ⏳ pending | 2 · Colorado Avalanche | 1.42 | 65.5% | 60.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 |
| 01:30 | 🏒 NHL | Toronto Maple Leafs – San Jose Sharks | ⏳ pending | 1 · Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.70 | 55.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 02:00 | ⚽ Kostarika - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA, APERTURA | Sporting FC – AD San Carlos | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 76.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 02:00 | ⚾ MLB | Tampa Bay Rays – Cleveland Guardians | ⏳ pending | 1 · Tampa Bay Rays | 1.70 | 55.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 03:00 | ⚽ Gvatemala - LIGA NACIONAL, APERTURA | Antigua GFC – Xelaju MC | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.23 | 76.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 03:00 | 🏒 NHL | Utah Mammoth – Pittsburgh Penguins | ⏳ pending | 1 · Utah Mammoth | 1.55 | 60.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 03:05 | ⚽ Kolumbija - PRIMERA A | AD Pasto – Alianza FC Valledupar | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.24 | 76.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 04:00 | 🎾 WTA - NINGBO | Bucsa Cristina – Kudermetova Polina | ⏳ pending | 1 · Bucsa Cristina | 1.90 | 49.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 04:00 | 🎾 WTA - NINGBO | Paolini Jasmine – Kalinina Anhelina | ⏳ pending | 1 · Paolini Jasmine | 1.50 | 66.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 04:30 | 🎾 WTA - OSAKA | Liu Claire – Linette Magda | ⏳ pending | 1 · Liu Claire | 1.55 | 60.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 04:30 | 🎾 WTA - OSAKA | Valentova Tereza – Zhang Shuai | ⏳ pending | 1 · Valentova Tereza | 1.37 | 68.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 05:40 | 🎾 WTA - OSAKA | Badosa Paula – Ruzic Antonia | ⏳ pending | 1 · Badosa Paula | 1.35 | 70.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 05:40 | 🎾 WTA - OSAKA | Oliјnikova Oleksandra – Stoiana Mary | ⏳ pending | 2 · Stoiana Mary | 1.45 | 65.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 05:40 | 🎾 WTA - OSAKA | Uchijima Moyuka – Shibahara Ena | ⏳ pending | 1 · Uchijima Moyuka | 1.60 | 59.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 12:00 | ⚽ Ukrajina - PREMIER LEAGUE | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – Levy Bereg Kyiv | ⏳ pending | 1 · Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1.45 | 66.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:10 | 🎾 ATP - BRUSSELS | Hanfmann Yannick – Damm Jr Martin | ⏳ pending | 1 · Hanfmann Yannick | 1.70 | 55.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:30 | 🎾 WTA - NINGBO | Eala Alexandra – Parry Diane | ⏳ pending | 1 · Eala Alexandra | 1.30 | 72.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Sjeverna Makedonija - 1. MFL | FK Arsimi 1973 – Tikves 1930 | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.20 | 79.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Iran - PRO LIGA | Mes Shahr-E Babak – Persepolis FC | ⏳ pending | 2 · Persepolis FC | 1.35 | 71.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:00 | 🎾 ATP - LYON | Faria Jaime – Balshaw Felix | ⏳ pending | 1 · Faria Jaime | 1.55 | 61.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Iran - AZADEGAN LIGA | Naft Gachsaran – Fard Alborz | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.30 | 67.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Turska - TFF 1. LIG | Fatih Karagumruk – Keciorengucu | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.26 | 74.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 16:10 | 🎾 ATP - LYON | Arnaldi Matteo – Musetti Lorenzo | ⏳ pending | 2 · Musetti Lorenzo | 1.45 | 65.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Latvija - VIRSLIGA | BFC Daugavpils – FK Auda | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.24 | 75.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Gruzija - EROVNULI LIGA | FC Dila Gori – FC Iberia 1999 | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.42 | 63.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Rumunjska - LIGA I | Universitatea Cluj – Arges Pitesti | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.22 | 77.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 17:05 | ⚽ Saudijska Arabija - PRO LEAGUE | Al Fayha – Al Ahli Saudi | ⏳ pending | 2 · Al Ahli Saudi | 1.35 | 72.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:20 | 🎾 ATP - LYON | Sonego Lorenzo – Kouame Moise | ⏳ pending | 1 · Sonego Lorenzo | 1.55 | 60.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | AC Monza – Cagliari | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.45 | 69.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Rusija - PREMIER LEAGUE | Rodina Moscow – FC Orenburg | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.27 | 73.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Svedska - ALLSVENSKAN | Degerfors IF – Kalmar FF | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.30 | 72.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Turska - SUPER LIGA | Trabzonspor – Besiktas | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 76.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Danska - SUPERLIGA | Viborg FF – FC Midtjylland | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.40 | 66.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Poljska - EKSTRAKLASA | Wisla Plock – Radomiak Radom | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 75.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:05 | ⚽ Svedska - SUPERETTAN | Varbergs BoIS – Helsingborgs IF | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.23 | 76.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 19:30 | ⚽ Izrael - PREMIER LEAGUE | Beitar Jerusalem – Maccabi Tel Aviv | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.40 | 67.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 20:30 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA 2 | RC Celta De Vigo B – Tenerife CD | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.30 | 71.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:30 | ⚽ Argentina - PRIMERA NACIONAL | San Telmo – Defensores Belgrano | ⏳ pending | under 2.5 | 1.25 | 76.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Parma – Torino FC | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.45 | 68.8% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 2 | Rodez Aveyron – Montpellier | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 74.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Getafe CF – Rayo Vallecano | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.45 | 68.9% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Tottenham – Coventry City | ⏳ pending | 1 · Tottenham | 1.50 | 64.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:15 | ⚽ Island - URVALSDEILD | Fram Reykjavik – IA Akranes | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.26 | 74.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:15 | ⚽ Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGA | SC Braga – Gil Vicente | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 74.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 22:30 | ⚽ Ekvador - SERIE A | Mushuc Runa SC – Orense SC | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.23 | 77.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 |
⭐ is our judgement, not a measured claim: more stars have not been proven to mean a better bet. 🟢🟡🔴 shows how completely the match was processed.
Better skip
Favourites priced below 1.30 — the only class where our own records prove that backing them loses.
| League | Match | Pick | Odds | Market p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP - BRUSSELS | Guerrieri Andrea – Michelsen Alex | 2 | 1.11 | 85.6% |
| WTA - NINGBO | Kawa Katarzyna – Snigur Daria | 2 | 1.21 | 78.8% |
| NFL | San Francisco 49ers – Washington Commanders | 1 | 1.22 | 78.3% |
| ATP - ALMATY | Kukushkin Mikhail – Sakellaridis Stefanos | 2 | 1.26 | 75.6% |
| WTA - OSAKA | Li Ann – Jones Emerson | 1 | 1.27 | 75.0% |
| ATP - BRUSSELS | Cina Federico – Munar Jaume | 2 | 1.28 | 73.8% |