AITipZona › Results › 19 September 2026

Probabilities & picks · 19 September 2026

60 matches from the day's offer. Each comes with the odds, the fair market probability (odds with the bookmaker's margin removed), our preferred option and — once played — the result. Numbers are recorded before the first kick-off and never changed afterwards.

Day result: 39 of 55 settled picks correct (70.9%).

Three tickets of the day

Safe

  • Brighton – Arsenal FC · 12 · 1.35
  • Istra 1961 Pula – HNK Gorica · 12 · 1.30
  • NK Varazdin – NK Osijek · 1X · 1.30
total odds: 2.28 · announced probability of winning: 46.8%
✅ won

Medium

  • Willem II Tilburg – Fortuna Sittard · X2 · 1.50
  • AS Roma – Inter Milano · X2 · 1.55
  • Hamburger SV – 1.FC Koln · 1X · 1.50
total odds: 3.49 · announced probability of winning: 30.1%
✅ won

Riskier

  • VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Dortmund · 2 · Borussia Dortmund · 2.80
  • DC Utd – Charlotte FC · 2 · Charlotte FC · 2.30
  • Udinese – Cagliari · 1 · Udinese · 2.25
total odds: 14.49 · announced probability of winning: 8.9%
❌ lost

Picks by match

StartLeagueMatchPickOddsMarket pOur pRatingDataResult
00:10⚾ MLBCleveland Guardians – Oakland Athletics1 · Cleveland Guardians1.5561.7%⭐⭐🟢✅ 12:6
00:40⚾ MLBCincinnati Reds – Chicago Cubs2 · Chicago Cubs1.7554.5%⭐⭐🟢✅ 2:5
00:40⚾ MLBPittsburgh Pirates – Kansas City Royals2 · Kansas City Royals2.0048.1%⭐⭐🟢❌ 6:5
01:00🎾 WTA Guadalajara (finale)Stearns Peyton – Jovic Iva2 · Jovic Iva1.3371.3%⭐🟡✅ 0:2
01:05⚾ MLBTexas Rangers – Toronto Blue Jays1 · Texas Rangers2.0047.4%⭐⭐🟢✅ 6:2
01:10⚾ MLBHouston Astros – Atlanta Braves2 · Atlanta Braves2.0048.1%⭐⭐🟢✅ 3:6
01:15⚾ MLBSt. Louis Cardinals – Washington Nationals2 · Washington Nationals2.1045.5%⭐🟢✅ 5:8
01:30⚽ SAD - MLSDC Utd – Charlotte FCX21.4266.1%70.4%⭐🟡✅ 1:2
01:30⚽ SAD - MLSMontreal – Columbus Crew121.2873.4%⭐🟡✅ 0:2
01:30⚽ SAD - MLSNew England Revolution – Orlando Cityover 2.51.3669.5%⭐🟡⏳ pending
02:10⚾ MLBArizona Diamondbacks – NY Yankees2 · NY Yankees1.7056.4%61.4%⭐⭐⭐🟢❌ 5:3
02:10⚾ MLBColorado Rockies – Seattle Mariners2 · Seattle Mariners1.6059.5%62.9%⭐⭐🟢❌ 5:3
02:40⚾ MLBSan Diego Padres – Miami Marlins2 · Miami Marlins2.3041.8%⭐🟢❌ 7:6
03:10⚾ MLBLos Angeles Dodgers – San Francisco Giants1 · Los Angeles Dodgers1.3073.5%⭐🟡✅ 10:4
03:38⚾ MLBLos Angeles Angels – Minnesota Twins2 · Minnesota Twins1.9050.0%⭐⭐🟢❌ 6:5
13:30⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUETottenham – Aston Villa121.2873.6%⭐⭐🟢✅ 2:3
14:00⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGACA Osasuna – Rayo Vallecano121.3371.3%⭐⭐🟢❌ 1:1
15:00⚽ Italija - SERIE ABologna FC – Torino FC121.3072.0%76.3%⭐⭐🟢❌ 1:1
15:00⚽ Italija - SERIE AUdinese – Cagliari121.3370.6%75.5%⭐⭐🟢✅ 0:1
15:30⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGABorussia Monchengladbach – 1.FSV Mainzover 2.51.4465.6%⭐⭐🟢⏳ pending
15:30⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGAEintracht Frankfurt – SC FreiburgX21.5063.1%⭐⭐🟢✅ 2:2
15:30⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGAHamburger SV – 1.FC Koln1X1.5062.4%66.9%⭐⭐🟢✅ 2:0
15:30⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGAWerder Bremen – FC AugsburgX21.6058.9%63.9%⭐⭐🟢❌ 3:2
16:00⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUEBrighton – Arsenal FC121.3573.4%78.4%⭐⭐⭐⭐🟢✅ 3:0
16:00⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUEEverton – Ipswich Town1X1.2376.0%⭐🟡✅ 1:0
16:00⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUENewcastle – Hull City121.2078.0%⭐🟡✅ 2:1
16:15⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGAAthletic Bilbao – Deportivo Alaves121.2575.0%⭐⭐🟢❌ 0:0
16:30⚽ Nizozemska - EREDIVISIEADO Den Haag – SC Cambuur1X1.2873.6%⭐🟡✅ 1:1
16:30⚽ Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGAGil Vicente – Maritimo Madeira121.3370.8%⭐🟡❌ 1:1
16:30⚽ Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGANacional Madeira – FC Famalicao121.3370.9%75.5%⭐⭐🟢✅ 0:4
17:00⚽ Hrvatska - SHNLNK Varazdin – NK Osijek121.4071.1%76.1%⭐⭐⭐⭐🟢❌ 0:0
17:15⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1Paris FC – Strasbourgover 2.51.5760.3%⭐⭐🟢⏳ pending
18:00⚽ Italija - SERIE AAS Roma – Inter MilanoX21.5564.4%⭐⭐⭐⭐🟢✅ 2:2
18:00🎾 WTA Sao Paulo (polufinale)Quevedo Kaitlin – Blinkova Anna1 · Quevedo Kaitlin2.3041.0%⭐🟡✅ 2:1
18:30⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGACelta Vigo – Racing Santander1X1.2376.0%⭐🟡✅ 5:0
18:30⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUENottingham Forest – Coventry City121.2376.1%⭐🟡✅ 0:1
18:30⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGAVfB Stuttgart – Borussia DortmundX21.6560.9%65.9%⭐⭐⭐⭐🟢✅ 0:1
18:45⚽ Nizozemska - EREDIVISIESparta Rotterdam – HeerenveenX21.5560.4%64.3%⭐⭐🟢✅ 0:4
19:00⚽ Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGAFC Alverca – Rio Ave FC121.3072.5%75.6%⭐⭐🟢✅ 1:0
19:30⚽ Argentina - LIGA PROFESIONALGimnasia Esgrima Mendoza – Deportivo Riestra121.3568.0%72.9%⭐🟡❌ 0:0
19:30⚽ Argentina - LIGA PROFESIONALGimnasia La Plata – CA Banfield121.2673.2%78.2%⭐🟡❌ 2:2
20:00⚽ Nizozemska - EREDIVISIEAjax Amsterdam – Excelsior Rotterdamover 2.51.3072.9%⭐⭐🟢⏳ pending
20:00⚽ Hrvatska - SHNLIstra 1961 Pula – HNK Gorica121.3072.9%77.9%⭐⭐⭐🟢✅ 0:1
20:10⚾ MLBChicago White Sox – Detroit Tigers2 · Detroit Tigers2.1045.5%⭐🟢❌ 3:1
20:45⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1Angers SCO – Troyes121.3072.3%⭐🟡✅ 2:0
20:45⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1Le Mans – FC Lorient121.3371.3%⭐🟡✅ 2:1
20:45⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1Olympique Lyon – Rennes121.2874.0%⭐⭐🟢✅ 4:0
20:45⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1Toulouse FC – Le Havre121.2575.0%⭐⭐🟢✅ 3:2
20:45⚽ Italija - SERIE AVenezia – SS Lazio121.2873.1%78.1%⭐⭐🟢✅ 0:2
21:00⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE AAtletico Mineiro – Chapecoense SC1 · Atletico Mineiro1.3568.8%63.3%⭐🟡❌ 1:1
21:00⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGASevilla FC – FC Barcelonaover 2.51.3072.9%⭐⭐🟢⏳ pending
21:00⚽ Nizozemska - EREDIVISIEWillem II Tilburg – Fortuna SittardX21.5062.4%67.2%⭐⭐🟢✅ 0:1
21:30⚽ Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGASporting Lisabon – FC Aroucaover 2.51.4465.2%⭐⭐🟢⏳ pending
21:45⚽ Argentina - LIGA PROFESIONALUnion Santa Fe – CA Independiente121.3269.6%72.8%⭐🟡✅ 1:2
22:00⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE AMirassol SP – Botafogo RJ121.3072.3%⭐🟡✅ 2:0
22:05⚾ MLBBaltimore Orioles – Milwaukee Brewers1 · Baltimore Orioles2.1045.5%⭐🟢❌ 0:1
22:10⚾ MLBNY Mets – Philadelphia Phillies1 · NY Mets1.8052.6%⭐⭐🟢✅ 10:3
22:10⚾ MLBTampa Bay Rays – Boston Red Sox2 · Boston Red Sox2.1045.5%⭐🟡❌ 2:1
23:30⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE AClube Do Remo PA – Santos SP121.3370.5%⭐🟡✅ 1:2

⭐ is our judgement, not a measured claim: more stars have not been proven to mean a better bet. 🟢🟡🔴 shows how completely the match was processed.

Better skip

Favourites priced below 1.30 — the only class where our own records prove that backing them loses.

LeagueMatchPickOddsMarket p
Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGASporting Lisabon – FC Arouca11.1581.2%
WTA Sao Paulo (polufinale)Podoroska Nadia – Badosa Paula21.1980.1%
Spanjolska - LA LIGASevilla FC – FC Barcelona21.2077.8%
Nizozemska - EREDIVISIEAjax Amsterdam – Excelsior Rotterdam11.2077.8%
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