Probabilities & picks · 10 October 2026
90 matches from the day's offer. Each comes with the odds, the fair market probability (odds with the bookmaker's margin removed), our preferred option and — once played — the result. Numbers are recorded before the first kick-off and never changed afterwards.
Results pending — this page is completed the next day.
Three tickets of the day
Safe
- NK Osijek – Istra 1961 Pula · 12 · 1.30
- Aston Villa – Brentford FC · 12 · 1.30
- Ipswich Town – Fulham · 12 · 1.30
total odds: 2.20 · announced probability of winning: 39.8%
⏳ pending
Medium
- Manchester Utd – Tottenham · over 2.5 · 1.50
- US Amal Tiznit – DH El Jadidi · X2 · 1.50
- Hearts – St. Mirren · over 2.5 · 1.53
total odds: 3.44 · announced probability of winning: 24.5%
⏳ pending
Riskier
- Hajduk Split – Dinamo Zagreb · 2 · Dinamo Zagreb · 2.40
- Middlesbrough – Wolverhampton Wanderers · under 2.5 · 2.30
- Lille OSC – Le Havre · under 2.5 · 2.30
total odds: 12.70 · announced probability of winning: 7.1%
⏳ pending
Picks by match
| Start | League | Match | Pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Rating | Data | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | ⚽ Venezuela - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | Deportivo Tachira – UCV FC | 12 | 1.22 | 75.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 00:15 | ⚽ Argentina - LIGA PROFESIONAL | CA Tigre – CA Banfield | 12 | 1.27 | 72.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 01:00 | 🏒 NHL | Colorado Avalanche – Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 · Colorado Avalanche | 1.47 | 63.9% | 68.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 01:00 | 🏒 NHL | Montreal Canadiens – Detroit Red Wings | 1 · Montreal Canadiens | 1.47 | 63.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 01:10 | ⚽ Kolumbija - PRIMERA A | CD Junior FC – Internacional De Bogota | 12 | 1.22 | 75.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 01:30 | ⚽ SAD - MLS | Inter Miami – DC Utd | over 2.5 | 1.25 | 76.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 02:00 | ⚾ MLB | Milwaukee Brewers – Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 · Milwaukee Brewers | 1.85 | 50.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 02:00 | ⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE A | Sao Paulo SP – EC Vitoria BA | 12 | 1.25 | 75.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 03:00 | ⚽ Gvatemala - LIGA NACIONAL, APERTURA | Malacateco – Guastatoya | 1X | 1.22 | 75.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 03:00 | ⚽ Salvador - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA, APERTURA | Municipal Limeno – CD Luis Angel Firpo | X2 | 1.32 | 69.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 04:00 | ⚽ Kostarika - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA, APERTURA | CS Herediano – AD San Carlos | 12 | 1.23 | 74.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 04:00 | 🏒 NHL | Vegas Golden Knights – Los Angeles Kings | 1 · Vegas Golden Knights | 1.60 | 58.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 05:10 | ⚽ Meksiko - LIGA MX | CF America – CF Monterrey | 12 | 1.28 | 73.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Arsenal FC – Leeds | 1 · Arsenal FC | 1.40 | 66.7% | 63.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Gruzija - EROVNULI LIGA | FC Meshakhte Tkibuli – FC Iberia 1999 | 1X | 2.20 | 41.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Estonija - PREMIUM LIIGA | Nomme Kalju – Harju JK Laagri | 12 | 1.20 | 78.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:35 | ⚽ Kina - SUPER LIGA | Shanghai Shenhua – Yunnan Yukun | 1X | 1.20 | 78.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Rayo Vallecano – Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 1.33 | 70.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:45 | ⚽ Madarska - NB I | Vasas SC – Kisvarda FC | 1X | 1.21 | 76.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE B | Benevento – Cesena FC | 1X | 1.24 | 74.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Genoa CFC – AC Fiorentina | 12 | 1.33 | 70.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SHNL | Hajduk Split – Dinamo Zagreb | X2 | 1.45 | 68.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Ceska - 1. LIGA | Hradec Kralove – SK Artis Brno | 12 | 1.20 | 78.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Uzbekistan - SUPERLIGA | Qizilqum Zarafshon – Surkhon Termez | 1X | 1.33 | 69.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Latvija - VIRSLIGA | Super Nova – Grobinas SC | X2 | 1.50 | 61.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | 1.FSV Mainz – Bayer Leverkusen | X2 | 1.40 | 67.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SUPERSPORT PRVA NL | HNK Vukovar 1991 – Hrvace | 12 | 1.28 | 72.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Iran - PRO LIGA | Peykan – Shams Azar Qazvin | 1X | 1.24 | 72.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart | 12 | 1.20 | 78.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | TSG Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV | over 2.5 | 1.40 | 68.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Tunis - LIGUE 1 | US Ben Guerdane – Africain | 12 | 1.40 | 65.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | Union Berlin – Elversberg 07 | 12 | 1.28 | 73.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:50 | ⚽ Saudijska Arabija - PRO LEAGUE | Al Hazem – Neom SC | 12 | 1.25 | 75.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Aston Villa – Brentford FC | 12 | 1.30 | 72.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Chelsea FC – Bournemouth | 12 | 1.25 | 74.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Sjeverna Irska - PREMIERSHIP | Coleraine – Cliftonville | 1 · Coleraine | 1.35 | 67.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Urugvaj - PRIMERA DIVISION | Defensor Sporting – CA Cerro | 12 | 1.27 | 72.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Skotska - PREMIERSHIP | Hearts – St. Mirren | 1 · Hearts | 1.45 | 64.1% | 69.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Ipswich Town – Fulham | 12 | 1.30 | 72.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Engleska - CHAMPIONSHIP | Middlesbrough – Wolverhampton Wanderers | 12 | 1.28 | 73.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Island - URVALSDEILD | Stjarnan – KA Akureyri | 12 | 1.21 | 78.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Sunderland – Brighton | X2 | 1.40 | 67.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Finska - VEIKKAUSLIIGA | TPS Turku – FF Jaro | 1X | 1.30 | 70.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:15 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Deportivo Alaves – Atletico Madrid | 12 | 1.28 | 73.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:30 | ⚽ Rusija - PREMIER LEAGUE | Krylia Sovetov Samara – Spartak Moskva | 12 | 1.21 | 76.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Srbija - SUPERLIGA | FK Cukaricki Beograd – FK Macva Sabac | 12 | 1.20 | 77.1% | 74.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Austrija - BUNDESLIGA | Grazer AK – Red Bull Salzburg | 12 | 1.23 | 76.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Nigerija - PREMIER LEAGUE | Ranchers Bees – Niger Tornadoes FC | 12 | 1.25 | 73.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:15 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Lille OSC – Le Havre | 1 · Lille OSC | 1.40 | 65.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:30 | ⚽ Svedska - ALLSVENSKAN | Mjallby AIF – Degerfors IF | 12 | 1.28 | 73.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:30 | ⚽ Slovenija - 1. SNL | NK Celje – Aluminij Kidricevo | X2 | 2.20 | 42.1% | ⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:30 | ⚽ Poljska - EKSTRAKLASA | Slask Wroclaw – Lech Poznan | over 2.5 | 1.48 | 63.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Turska - SUPER LIGA | Caykur Rizespor – Fenerbahce Istanbul | 12 | 1.23 | 76.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Svicarska - SUPER LIGA | FC Lugano – FC Luzern | 12 | 1.23 | 77.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Inter Milano – Parma | over 2.5 | 1.36 | 70.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SHNL | NK Osijek – Istra 1961 Pula | 12 | 1.30 | 73.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Norveska - ELITESERIEN | Rosenborg BK – Sandefjord | over 2.5 | 1.40 | 67.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:15 | ⚽ Izrael - PREMIER LEAGUE | Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona – Hapoel Tel Aviv | over 2.5 | 1.80 | 52.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:15 | ⚽ Belgija - PRO LIGA | RAAL La Louviere – Club Brugge | 2 · Club Brugge | 1.40 | 67.0% | 72.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Albanija - KATEGORIA SUPERIORE | AF Elbasani – Vora | 12 | 1.20 | 76.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Jordan - PRO LEAGUE | Al Salt – Al Faisaly | 2 · Al Faisaly | 1.42 | 63.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Grcka - SUPER LIGA 1 | Asteras Tripolis – Atromitos Athinon | 1X | 1.33 | 68.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA 2 | CD Eldense – Cordoba CF | 12 | 1.25 | 73.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | FC Barcelona – Getafe CF | over 2.5 | 1.30 | 72.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Ekvador - SERIE A | Independiente Del Valle – SD Aucas | 1 · Independiente Del Valle | 1.45 | 62.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Manchester Utd – Tottenham | 1X | 1.25 | 80.2% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt | over 2.5 | 1.29 | 74.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:45 | ⚽ Irak - STARS LEAGUE | Al Kahrabaa SC – Karbalaa | 12 | 1.25 | 73.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:45 | ⚽ Nizozemska - EREDIVISIE | Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar | over 2.5 | 1.40 | 67.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 19:00 | 🏒 NHL | Boston Bruins – Philadelphia Flyers | 1 · Boston Bruins | 1.70 | 55.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Bugarska - PARVA LIGA | Botev Plovdiv – Slavia Sofia | 12 | 1.23 | 74.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:00 | ⚽ Peru - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | AD Tarma – FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1.23 | 74.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:00 | ⚽ Cile - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | Cobresal – Universidad De Concepcion | 1X | 1.30 | 71.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:00 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 2 | Saint Etienne – Rodez Aveyron | over 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - 2. BUNDESLIGA | 1.FC Nurnberg – VfL Wolfsburg | 12 | 1.25 | 75.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:30 | ⚽ Rumunjska - LIGA I | FCSB Bukurest – Otelul Galati | 1 · FCSB Bukurest | 1.40 | 65.4% | 60.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | AS Monaco – Toulouse FC | 12 | 1.23 | 76.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Brest – Angers SCO | 12 | 1.28 | 73.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | FC Lorient – Paris FC | X2 | 1.30 | 72.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Paris SG – Le Mans | over 2.5 | 1.25 | 76.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | SSC Napoli – Frosinone | over 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Argentina - PRIMERA NACIONAL | Quilmes AC – Agropecuario Argentino | 12 | 1.33 | 71.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Real Madrid – Villarreal | 12 | 1.20 | 82.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Maroko - BOTOLA | US Amal Tiznit – DH El Jadidi | under 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Bolivija - DIVISION PROFESIONAL | Universitario De Vinto – Cdt Real Oruro | over 2.5 | 1.40 | 67.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:30 | ⚽ Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGA | Casa Pia AC – CD Santa Clara | X2 | 1.23 | 76.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Kanada - PREMIER LEAGUE | FC Supra Du Quebec – Vancouver FC | 12 | 1.24 | 73.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Paragvaj - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | Sportivo San Lorenzo – Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 1.23 | 75.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 23:00 | ⚽ Honduras - LIGA NACIONAL, APERTURA | FC Policia Nacional – CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa | X2 | 1.23 | 75.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending |
⭐ is our judgement, not a measured claim: more stars have not been proven to mean a better bet. 🟢🟡🔴 shows how completely the match was processed.
Better skip
Favourites priced below 1.30 — the only class where our own records prove that backing them loses.
| League | Match | Pick | Odds | Market p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spanjolska - LA LIGA | FC Barcelona – Getafe CF | 1 | 1.07 | 87.4% |
| Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Paris SG – Le Mans | 1 | 1.10 | 85.1% |
| Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | FC Augsburg – Bayern Munchen | 2 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Italija - SERIE A | Inter Milano – Parma | 1 | 1.15 | 81.1% |