Probabilities & picks · 11 October 2026
90 matches from the day's offer. Each comes with the odds, the fair market probability (odds with the bookmaker's margin removed), our preferred option and — once played — the result. Numbers are recorded before the first kick-off and never changed afterwards.
Results pending — this page is completed the next day.
Stakes of the day
| League | Match | Pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Liverpool FC – Manchester City | X2 | 1.50 | ⏳ pending |
| 🏒 NHL | Philadelphia Flyers – Carolina Hurricanes | 2 · Carolina Hurricanes | 1.55 | ⏳ pending |
| ⚽ Španjolska - LA LIGA | Real Betis – CA Osasuna | 12 | 1.30 | ⏳ pending |
Three tickets of the day
Safe
- Real Betis – CA Osasuna · 12 · 1.30
- Konyaspor – Istanbul Basaksehir · 12 · 1.30
- US Sassuolo – AC Milan · 12 · 1.35
total odds: 2.28 · announced probability of winning: 41.8%
⏳ pending
Medium
- Liverpool FC – Manchester City · X2 · 1.50
- Philadelphia Flyers – Carolina Hurricanes · 2 · Carolina Hurricanes · 1.55
- Slovan Liberec – 1.FC Slovacko · 1 · Slovan Liberec · 1.50
total odds: 3.49 · announced probability of winning: 28.6%
⏳ pending
Riskier
- Davidovich Fokina Alejandro – Tiafoe Frances · 1 · Davidovich Fokina Alejandro · 2.00
- Nice – Strasbourg · under 2.5 · 2.30
- Troyes – Olympique Marseille · under 2.5 · 2.30
total odds: 10.58 · announced probability of winning: 8.5%
⏳ pending
Picks by match
| Start | League | Match | Pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Rating | Data | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 🏒 NHL | NY Rangers – Vancouver Canucks | 1 · NY Rangers | 1.37 | 68.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 01:00 | ⚽ Meksiko - LIGA MX | Atletico San Luis – Club Santos Laguna | 12 | 1.28 | 73.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 01:00 | ⚽ Kostarika - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA, APERTURA | CD Escorpiones Belen – Deportivo Saprissa San Jose | 2 · Deportivo Saprissa San Jose | 1.40 | 64.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 01:00 | ⚽ Kanada - PREMIER LEAGUE | Pacific FC – Atletico Ottawa | 12 | 1.20 | 76.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 01:00 | 🏒 NHL | Philadelphia Flyers – Carolina Hurricanes | 2 · Carolina Hurricanes | 1.55 | 60.3% | 65.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 01:00 | ⚽ SAD - MLS | Saint Louis City – Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 · Saint Louis City | 1.50 | 61.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 02:00 | ⚾ MLB | Milwaukee Brewers – Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 · Milwaukee Brewers | 1.90 | 50.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 12:00 | ⚽ Ukrajina - PREMIER LEAGUE | Dynamo Kyiv – Karpaty Lviv | 1X | 1.23 | 75.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 12:00 | ⚽ Kina - SUPER LIGA | Qingdao West Coast – Dalian Young Boy | 12 | 1.28 | 72.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 12:15 | ⚽ Nizozemska - EREDIVISIE | FC Utrecht – Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 1.20 | 78.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 12:30 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Como 1907 – AS Roma | 12 | 1.30 | 72.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 12:30 | ⚽ Turska - SUPER LIGA | Konyaspor – Istanbul Basaksehir | 12 | 1.30 | 72.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 12:45 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SUPERSPORT PRVA NL | NK Dugopolje – Croatia Zmijavci | 1X | 1.28 | 72.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Rusija - PREMIER LEAGUE | Akhmat Grozny – Baltika Kaliningrad | X2 | 1.45 | 63.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Uzbekistan - SUPERLIGA | FC AGMK – Navbahor Namangan | X2 | 1.23 | 74.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Sjeverna Makedonija - 1. MFL | KF Shkendija Haracine – Shkendija 79 | 12 | 1.22 | 75.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Skotska - PREMIERSHIP | Motherwell – Celtic Glasgow | over 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Latvija - VIRSLIGA | Ogre Utd – BFC Daugavpils | X2 | 1.23 | 74.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Ceska - 1. LIGA | Slovan Liberec – 1.FC Slovacko | 1 · Slovan Liberec | 1.50 | 61.5% | 64.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 13:00 | ⚽ Engleska - CHAMPIONSHIP | Southampton – Portsmouth | over 2.5 | 1.57 | 60.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:10 | 🎾 ATP - SHANGHAI | Davidovich Fokina Alejandro – Tiafoe Frances | 1 · Davidovich Fokina Alejandro | 2.00 | 50.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - 2. BUNDESLIGA | FC St.Pauli – Karlsruher SC | 12 | 1.23 | 76.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Albanija - KATEGORIA SUPERIORE | Laci – KF Egnatia Rrogozhine | 12 | 1.26 | 72.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Estonija - PREMIUM LIIGA | Levadia Tallinn – Paide Linnameeskond | 1 · Levadia Tallinn | 1.47 | 63.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Gruzija - EROVNULI LIGA | Samgurali Tskaltubo – FC Gagra | 1X | 1.26 | 72.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Belgija - PRO LIGA | Standard Liege – Royal Charleroi | 12 | 1.30 | 71.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 13:30 | 🎾 WTA - PEKING | Zheng Qinwen – Andreeva Mirra | 2 · Andreeva Mirra | 1.50 | 62.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Elche CF – Celta Vigo | 12 | 1.33 | 70.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA 2 | FC Andorra – CD Castellon | X2 | 1.35 | 68.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Svicarska - SUPER LIGA | Grasshoppers – Young Boys Bern | over 2.5 | 1.22 | 77.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Svedska - ALLSVENSKAN | Hammarby IF – Djurgardens IF | 12 | 1.23 | 76.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Finska - VEIKKAUSLIIGA | Inter Turku – KuPS Kuopio | 12 | 1.33 | 70.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Danska - SUPERLIGA | Randers FC – Viborg FF | X2 | 1.35 | 69.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Bugarska - PARVA LIGA | Septemvri Sofia – Dunav Ruse | 1X | 1.30 | 71.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:30 | ⚽ Iran - AZADEGAN LIGA | Fard Alborz – Shahin Bandar Ameri | 1X | 1.30 | 67.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:30 | ⚽ Norveska - ELITESERIEN | Fredrikstad FK – Tromso IL | 12 | 1.30 | 71.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:30 | ⚽ Austrija - BUNDESLIGA | SCR Altach – Wolfsberger AC | 12 | 1.25 | 75.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:45 | ⚽ Rumunjska - LIGA II | Bihor Oradea – ACS Fotbal Club Bacau 2023 | 1X | 1.21 | 75.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:45 | ⚽ Poljska - EKSTRAKLASA | GKS Piast Gliwice – KS Widzew Lodz | 12 | 1.30 | 72.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 14:45 | ⚽ Madarska - NB I | Zalaegerszeg TE – Nyiregyhaza Spar. | 1X | 1.50 | 61.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE B | Catanzaro – Mantova 1911 | 1X | 1.35 | 68.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest | 12 | 1.33 | 71.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Srbija - SUPERLIGA | FK Radnicki Nis – FK Vojvodina Novi Sad | 12 | 1.24 | 74.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Hull City – Everton | X2 | 1.28 | 73.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SHNL | Lokomotiva ZG – NK Varazdin | 12 | 1.33 | 71.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Slovenija - 1. SNL | Nafta 1903 Lendava – NK Bravo | 1X | 1.42 | 65.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Nice – Strasbourg | 12 | 1.28 | 73.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | SS Lazio – AC Monza | 12 | 1.25 | 75.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | US Lecce – Bologna FC | X2 | 1.25 | 75.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | 1.FC Koln – Borussia Monchengladbach | over 2.5 | 1.50 | 63.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | ⚽ Tunis - LIGUE 1 | ES Metlaoui – Stade Tunisien | X2 | 1.27 | 72.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 15:30 | 🏈 NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars – Philadelphia Eagles | 1 · Jacksonville Jaguars | 1.23 | 77.8% | 74.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 15:40 | ⚽ Saudijska Arabija - PRO LEAGUE | Al Fayha – Al Riyadh SC | 12 | 1.30 | 72.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Grcka - SUPER LIGA 1 | AE Kifisia – Panaitolikos Agrinio | 1X | 1.21 | 76.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Urugvaj - PRIMERA DIVISION | Juventud Piedras – Racing Montevideo | 1X | 1.40 | 66.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:15 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Real Sociedad – Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 1.23 | 76.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 16:30 | ⚽ Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGA | Rio Ave FC – Nacional Madeira | 12 | 1.33 | 71.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Nigerija - PREMIER LEAGUE | Abia Warrioes – Rivers Utd | 1X | 1.26 | 72.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Rumunjska - LIGA I | Csikszereda – Universitatea Craiova 1948 | 2 · Universitatea Craiova 1948 | 1.30 | 70.5% | 65.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 17:15 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Rennes – Auxerre | over 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:30 | ⚽ Cile - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | CD Everton VM – Deportes La Serena | 12 | 1.22 | 75.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:30 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Liverpool FC – Manchester City | X2 | 1.50 | 66.8% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 17:30 | ⚽ Njemacka - BUNDESLIGA | SC Freiburg – Schalke 04 | 12 | 1.23 | 76.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Hrvatska - SHNL | Slaven Belupo – HNK Rijeka | X2 | 1.20 | 83.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | US Sassuolo – AC Milan | 12 | 1.35 | 73.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Ekvador - SERIE A | CD Universidad Catolica Quito – CSD Macara | 1X | 1.20 | 76.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Real Betis – CA Osasuna | 12 | 1.30 | 77.3% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 19:00 | 🏈 NFL | Green Bay Packers – Chicago Bears | 1 · Green Bay Packers | 2.00 | 47.4% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 19:00 | 🏈 NFL | Miami Dolphins – Cincinnati Bengals | 2 · Cincinnati Bengals | 1.30 | 73.5% | 68.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 19:00 | 🏈 NFL | NY Jets – Cleveland Browns | 1 · NY Jets | 1.75 | 54.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 19:15 | ⚽ Izrael - PREMIER LEAGUE | Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim – Beitar Jerusalem | over 2.5 | 1.48 | 63.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 19:45 | ⚽ Argentina - LIGA PROFESIONAL | San Lorenzo De Almagro – Deportivo Riestra | under 2.5 | 1.33 | 71.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:00 | ⚽ Argentina - PRIMERA NACIONAL | CA Atlanta – San Martin Tucuman | 12 | 1.40 | 67.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:00 | ⚽ Peru - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | UTC De Cajamarca – Sporting Cristal | 12 | 1.25 | 73.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Cagliari – Juventus | 12 | 1.25 | 75.5% | 72.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 1 | Troyes – Olympique Marseille | 12 | 1.28 | 73.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE A | Atletico Mineiro – Santos SP | 12 | 1.30 | 72.3% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Racing Santander – Valencia CF | 12 | 1.30 | 72.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Bolivija - DIVISION PROFESIONAL | Real Potosi – The Strongest | 12 | 1.25 | 73.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 21:15 | ⚽ Island - URVALSDEILD | Breidablik Kopavogur – Keflavik IF | 12 | 1.22 | 77.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Venezuela - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | Academia Anzoategui FC – Carabobo FC | 12 | 1.23 | 75.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Jamajka - PREMIER LEAGUE | Cavaliers FC – Montego Bay Utd | X2 | 1.32 | 69.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Paragvaj - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | Rubio Nu – Olimpia Asuncion | X2 | 1.20 | 76.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Maroko - BOTOLA | Wydad AC – CODM Meknes | 12 | 1.23 | 75.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 23:00 | ⚽ Salvador - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA, APERTURA | Atletico Balboa – FAS | 12 | 1.20 | 76.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 23:00 | ⚽ Honduras - LIGA NACIONAL, APERTURA | CD Estrella Roja – Real Espana San Pedro Sula | 12 | 1.24 | 74.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 23:00 | ⚽ Gvatemala - LIGA NACIONAL, APERTURA | Deportivo San Pedro – Comunicaciones FC | 1X | 1.25 | 73.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending | |
| 23:00 | 🏒 NHL | Washington Capitals – Seattle Kraken | 1 · Washington Capitals | 1.45 | 64.2% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | ⏳ pending | |
| 23:05 | ⚽ Kolumbija - PRIMERA A | Jaguares De Cordoba – CD Tolima | 12 | 1.21 | 76.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | ⏳ pending |
⭐ is our judgement, not a measured claim: more stars have not been proven to mean a better bet. 🟢🟡🔴 shows how completely the match was processed.
Better skip
Favourites priced below 1.30 — the only class where our own records prove that backing them loses.
| League | Match | Pick | Odds | Market p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP - SHANGHAI | Zverev Alexander – Halys Quentin | 1 | 1.10 | 86.4% |
| NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars – Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 1.23 | 77.8% |