Probabilities & picks · 12 October 2026
49 matches from the day's offer. Each comes with the odds, the fair market probability (odds with the bookmaker's margin removed), our preferred option and — once played — the result. Numbers are recorded before the first kick-off and never changed afterwards.
Results pending — this page is completed the next day.
Stakes of the day
| League | Match | Result | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⚾ MLB | Tampa Bay Rays – Cleveland Guardians | ⏳ pending | 1 · Tampa Bay Rays | 1.65 |
| ⚽ Španjolska - LA LIGA | Levante UD – Sevilla FC | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.45 |
Three tickets of the day
Safe
- Atalanta BC – Venezia · 12 · 1.30
- Coritiba FC – Botafogo RJ · 12 · 1.30
- Tractor Sport Club – Al Shamal · 12 · 1.33
total odds: 2.25 · announced probability of winning: 40.8%
⏳ pending
Medium
- Tampa Bay Rays – Cleveland Guardians · 1 · Tampa Bay Rays · 1.65
- AGF Aarhus – SonderjyskE · over 2.5 · 1.50
- Atletico Lanus – Velez Sarsfield · under 2.5 · 1.50
total odds: 3.71 · announced probability of winning: 25.1%
⏳ pending
Riskier
- Coventry City – Newcastle · 2 · Newcastle · 2.30
- Milwaukee Brewers – Los Angeles Dodgers · 1 · Milwaukee Brewers · 2.15
- Torino FC – Udinese · over 2.5 · 2.20
total odds: 10.88 · announced probability of winning: 8.3%
⏳ pending
Picks by match
| Start | League | Match | Result | Pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Rating | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:05 | ⚽ Jamajka - PREMIER LEAGUE | Tivoli Gardens – Racing Utd | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.33 | 68.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 01:00 | 🏒 NHL | New Jersey Devils – Ottawa Senators | ⏳ pending | 1 · New Jersey Devils | 1.70 | 55.3% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 02:00 | 🏒 NHL | Minnesota Wild – Vegas Golden Knights | ⏳ pending | 2 · Vegas Golden Knights | 1.90 | 49.3% | ⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 02:00 | ⚾ MLB | Tampa Bay Rays – Cleveland Guardians | ⏳ pending | 1 · Tampa Bay Rays | 1.65 | 61.2% | 64.2% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 |
| 02:15 | 🏈 NFL | Los Angeles Rams – Buffalo Bills | ⏳ pending | 1 · Los Angeles Rams | 1.60 | 59.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 12:00 | ⚽ Ukrajina - PREMIER LEAGUE | Levy Bereg Kyiv – Zorya Luhansk | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.50 | 61.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:10 | 🎾 ATP - SHANGHAI | Paul Tommy – Vacherot Valentin | ⏳ pending | 1 · Paul Tommy | 1.60 | 59.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:30 | ⚽ Iran - AZADEGAN LIGA | Sanat Mes Kerman – Mes Rafsanjan | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.30 | 67.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 13:30 | 🎾 WTA - WUHAN | Wang Xiyu – Wang Xinyu | ⏳ pending | 1 · Wang Xiyu | 1.90 | 50.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 14:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA 2 | Real Valladolid – Albacete | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.23 | 75.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 14:45 | 🎾 WTA - WUHAN | Eala Alexandra – Shi Han | ⏳ pending | 1 · Eala Alexandra | 1.21 | 78.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 15:45 | ⚽ Medunarodne Klubovi - AFC LIGA PRVAKA ELITE | Pakhtakor Tashkent – Al Qadsiah FC | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.20 | 78.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 16:00 | ⚽ Alzir - LIGUE 1 | JS El Biar – CR Belouizdad | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.30 | 70.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Rumunjska - LIGA I | Arges Pitesti – CFR Cluj | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.42 | 65.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Latvija - VIRSLIGA | FK Liepaja – FK Auda | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 73.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Grcka - SUPER LIGA 1 | PAOK Solun – PS Kalamata | ⏳ pending | 1 · PAOK Solun | 1.20 | 78.0% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 17:00 | ⚽ Finska - VEIKKAUSLIIGA | Vaasa PS – Gnistan | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.55 | 60.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Medunarodne Klubovi - AFC LIGA PRVAKA ELITE | Al Wasl FC – Al Ahli Saudi | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 73.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Poljska - EKSTRAKLASA | Radomiak Radom – Motor Lublin | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 73.8% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 18:00 | ⚽ Medunarodne Klubovi - AFC LIGA PRVAKA ELITE | Tractor Sport Club – Al Shamal | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.33 | 70.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 18:30 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Atalanta BC – Venezia | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.30 | 76.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Danska - SUPERLIGA | AGF Aarhus – SonderjyskE | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.50 | 62.5% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | 🏒 NHL | Buffalo Sabres – Florida Panthers | ⏳ pending | 1 · Buffalo Sabres | 1.90 | 49.3% | ⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Turska - SUPER LIGA | Eyupspor – Goztepe Izmir | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 73.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Kanada - PREMIER LEAGUE | Forge FC Hamilton – York Utd | ⏳ pending | 1 · Forge FC Hamilton | 1.37 | 66.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Norveska - ELITESERIEN | KFUM Oslo – Vaalerenga IF | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 73.7% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Svedska - ALLSVENSKAN | Malmo FF – Kalmar FF | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.25 | 75.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:00 | ⚽ Bugarska - PARVA LIGA | PFC Ludogorets Razgrad – Arda Kardzhali | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.90 | 50.0% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 19:30 | ⚽ Izrael - PREMIER LEAGUE | Hapoel Jerusalem – Maccabi Haifa | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.20 | 77.1% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 20:00 | ⚽ Srbija - SUPERLIGA | Mladost Lucani – OFK Beograd | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.50 | 61.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 20:15 | ⚽ Medunarodne Klubovi - AFC LIGA PRVAKA ELITE | Al Gharafa SC – Esteghlal FC | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.28 | 73.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:15 | ⚽ Medunarodne Klubovi - AFC LIGA PRVAKA ELITE | Al Nassr FC – FK Neftchi Fargona | ⏳ pending | 1 · Al Nassr FC | 1.20 | 77.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:15 | ⚽ Medunarodne Klubovi - AFC LIGA PRVAKA ELITE | Al Quwa Al Jawiya – Al Ain FC (ARE) | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.20 | 78.1% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Francuska - LIGUE 2 | Dijon FCO – FC Metz | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.42 | 64.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 20:45 | ⚽ Italija - SERIE A | Torino FC – Udinese | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.55 | 60.7% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Argentina - LIGA PROFESIONAL | Atletico Lanus – Velez Sarsfield | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.28 | 73.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE A | Coritiba FC – Botafogo RJ | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.30 | 72.4% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Coventry City – Newcastle | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.45 | 68.9% | ⭐⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Brazil - BRASILEIRO, SERIE B | Fortaleza CE – CR Brasil AL | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.22 | 75.8% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Bolivija - DIVISION PROFESIONAL | GV CD San Jose De Oruro – Guabira Montero | ⏳ pending | over 2.5 | 1.50 | 62.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 21:00 | ⚽ Spanjolska - LA LIGA | Levante UD – Sevilla FC | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.45 | 68.2% | ⭐⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 21:15 | ⚽ Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGA | FC Famalicao – FC Alverca | ⏳ pending | 1X | 1.23 | 76.6% | ⭐⭐ | 🟢 | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Paragvaj - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | CS 2 De Mayo – Sportivo Ameliano | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.32 | 69.6% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Maroko - BOTOLA | Hassania Agadir – AS Far Rabat | ⏳ pending | X2 | 1.22 | 75.9% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Argentina - PRIMERA NACIONAL | Racing Cordoba – Atletico Los Andes | ⏳ pending | 12 | 1.42 | 66.5% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 22:00 | ⚽ Cile - PRIMERA DIVIZIJA | Universidad De Chile – Nublense | ⏳ pending | 1 · Universidad De Chile | 1.50 | 61.2% | ⭐ | 🟡 | |
| 23:00 | ⚾ MLB | Milwaukee Brewers – Los Angeles Dodgers | ⏳ pending | 1 · Milwaukee Brewers | 2.15 | 44.2% | ⭐ | 🟢 |
⭐ is our judgement, not a measured claim: more stars have not been proven to mean a better bet. 🟢🟡🔴 shows how completely the match was processed.
Better skip
Favourites priced below 1.30 — the only class where our own records prove that backing them loses.
| League | Match | Pick | Odds | Market p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP - SHANGHAI | Bergs Zizou – Alcaraz Carlos | 2 | 1.05 | 91.3% |
| Sjeverna Makedonija - 1. MFL | KF Bashkimi Kumanovo 1947 – Struga Trim Lum | 2 | 1.17 | 77.4% |
| Grcka - SUPER LIGA 1 | PAOK Solun – PS Kalamata | 1 | 1.20 | 78.0% |
| Medunarodne Klubovi - AFC LIGA PRVAKA ELITE | Al Nassr FC – FK Neftchi Fargona | 1 | 1.20 | 77.5% |
| WTA - WUHAN | Eala Alexandra – Shi Han | 1 | 1.21 | 78.4% |