Island — our picks and results
4 matches of Island in our archive since 26 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 2 of 4 settled hit (50 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 October 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Estonija – Island | 12 | 1.25 | 74.6% | — | ❌ 0-0 |
| 3 October 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Island – Bugarska | 12 | 1.20 | 78.1% | — | ✅ 3-0 |
| 29 September 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Luksemburg – Island | X2 | 1.33 | 70.6% | — | ✅ 0-3 |
| 26 September 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Island – Estonija | 1 · Island | 1.30 | 71.7% | — | ❌ 1-1 |