Moldavija — our picks and results
4 matches of Moldavija in our archive since 26 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 2 of 4 settled hit (50 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 October 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Moldavija – Slovacka | 12 | 1.20 | 77.8% | — | ✅ 0-4 |
| 2 October 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Kazahstan – Moldavija | 12 | 1.33 | 70.7% | — | ✅ 1-2 |
| 29 September 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Moldavija – Farski Otoci | 12 | 1.40 | 67.4% | — | ❌ 1-1 |
| 26 September 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Slovacka – Moldavija | over 2.5 | 1.57 | 59.9% | — | ❌ 2-0 |