Nacional Madeira — our picks and results
3 matches of Nacional Madeira in our archive since 12 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 2 of 3 settled hit (67 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October 2026 | Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGA | Rio Ave FC – Nacional Madeira | 12 | 1.33 | 71.3% | — | ✅ 3-2 |
| 19 September 2026 | Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGA | Nacional Madeira – FC Famalicao | 12 | 1.33 | 70.9% | 75.5% | ✅ 0:4 |
| 12 September 2026 | Portugal Primeira Liga | Nacional Madeira – FC Alverca | 1X | 1.50 | 63.2% | 66.3% | ❌ 1:3 |