New England Patriots — our picks and results
3 matches of New England Patriots in our archive since 20 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 2 of 3 settled hit (67 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 October 2026 | NFL | Buffalo Bills – New England Patriots | 1 · Buffalo Bills | 1.32 | 72.0% | 68.4% | ❌ 26-29 |
| 27 September 2026 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars – New England Patriots | 1 · Jacksonville Jaguars | 1.65 | 57.7% | — | ✅ 35-6 |
| 20 September 2026 | NFL | New England Patriots – Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 · New England Patriots | 1.40 | 67.8% | — | ✅ 20-3 |