Toronto Maple Leafs — our picks and results
8 matches of Toronto Maple Leafs in our archive since 30 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 4 of 7 settled hit (57 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 October 2026 | NHL | Toronto Maple Leafs – San Jose Sharks | 1 · Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.70 | 55.3% | — | ⏳ |
| 15 October 2026 | NHL | Toronto Maple Leafs – Buffalo Sabres | 1 · Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.80 | 51.4% | — | ❌ 4-5 |
| 13 October 2026 | NHL | Utah Mammoth – Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 · Utah Mammoth | 1.60 | 58.4% | — | ✅ 5-4 |
| 10 October 2026 | NHL | Colorado Avalanche – Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 · Colorado Avalanche | 1.47 | 63.9% | 68.9% | ❌ 3-6 |
| 8 October 2026 | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights – Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 · Vegas Golden Knights | 1.60 | 58.4% | — | ✅ 4-3 |
| 6 October 2026 | NHL | Toronto Maple Leafs – Nashville Predators | 1 · Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.60 | 57.9% | — | ✅ 5-4 |
| 3 October 2026 | NHL | Toronto Maple Leafs – Ottawa Senators | 1 · Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.80 | 51.4% | — | ❌ 2-3 |
| 30 September 2026 | NHL | Toronto Maple Leafs – New York Islanders | 1 · Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.75 | 53.3% | — | ✅ 2-1 |