Aston Villa — our picks and results
7 matches of Aston Villa in our archive since 5 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 5 of 7 settled hit (71 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 October 2026 | Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Newcastle – Aston Villa | 12 | 1.28 | 74.9% | — | ✅ 0-1 |
| 14 October 2026 | Medunarodne Klubovi - UEFA LIGA PRVAKA | Aston Villa – Fenerbahce Istanbul | 12 | 1.25 | 77.1% | — | ✅ 6-0 |
| 10 October 2026 | Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Aston Villa – Brentford FC | 12 | 1.30 | 72.4% | — | ❌ 2-2 |
| 19 September 2026 | Engleska - PREMIER LEAGUE | Tottenham – Aston Villa | 12 | 1.28 | 73.6% | — | ✅ 2:3 |
| 12 September 2026 | Engleska Premier League | Aston Villa – Nottingham Forest | 12 | 1.30 | 71.7% | 75.9% | ✅ 1:2 |
| 8 September 2026 | UEFA Liga prvaka | Club Brugge – Aston Villa | X2 | 1.50 | 62.7% | 66.2% | ✅ 2:3 |
| 5 September 2026 | Engleska Premier League | Hull City – Aston Villa | 2 · Aston Villa | 2.00 | 50.5% | 61.4% | ❌ 0:0 |