Benfica Lisabon — our picks and results
5 matches of Benfica Lisabon in our archive since 9 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 4 of 5 settled hit (80 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | Medunarodne Klubovi - UEFA EUROPSKA LIGA | Benfica Lisabon – Celtic Glasgow | 1 · Benfica Lisabon | 1.20 | 82.1% | — | ✅ 4-1 |
| 20 September 2026 | Portugal - PRIMEIRA LIGA | FC Porto – Benfica Lisabon | 1X | 1.55 | 60.6% | 65.4% | ✅ 3-1 |
| 16 September 2026 | Medunarodne Klubovi - UEFA EUROPSKA LIGA | AC Milan – Benfica Lisabon | 1X | 1.45 | 69.2% | — | ❌ 0:2 |
| 13 September 2026 | Portugal Primeira Liga | Benfica Lisabon – Gil Vicente | over 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.2% | — | ✅ 3:1 |
| 9 September 2026 | Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense FC – Benfica Lisabon | over 2.5 | 1.44 | 65.2% | — | ✅ 0:4 |