Buffalo Bills — our picks and results
6 matches of Buffalo Bills in our archive since 13 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 3 of 6 settled hit (50 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October 2026 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders – Buffalo Bills | 2 · Buffalo Bills | 1.45 | 65.5% | — | ✅ 30-33 |
| 12 October 2026 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams – Buffalo Bills | 1 · Los Angeles Rams | 1.60 | 59.5% | — | ❌ 34-37 |
| 4 October 2026 | NFL | Buffalo Bills – New England Patriots | 1 · Buffalo Bills | 1.32 | 72.0% | 68.4% | ❌ 26-29 |
| 27 September 2026 | NFL | Buffalo Bills – Los Angeles Chargers | 1 · Buffalo Bills | 1.30 | 73.5% | — | ✅ 24-16 |
| 17 September 2026 | NFL | Buffalo Bills – Detroit Lions | 1 · Buffalo Bills | 1.42 | 66.7% | — | ✅ 41:31 |
| 13 September 2026 | NFL | Houston Texans – Buffalo Bills | 1 · Houston Texans | 2.00 | 48.1% | — | ❌ 31:36 |