Italija — our picks and results
4 matches of Italija in our archive since 25 September 2026. For each: our pick, the odds at publication, the fair market probability (odds with the margin removed), our probability where we have one, and the result. 2 of 4 settled hit (50 %) — hit rate alone says nothing about profit: picks are mostly low-odds favourites.
| Date | Competition | Match | Our pick | Odds | Market p | Our p | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 October 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Italija – Turska | 1 · Italija | 1.45 | 68.7% | — | ✅ 3-1 |
| 2 October 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Francuska – Italija | 12 | 1.25 | 79.9% | — | ❌ 1-1 |
| 28 September 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Turska – Italija | X2 | 1.55 | 64.2% | — | ✅ 1-4 |
| 25 September 2026 | Reprezentacije - UEFA LIGA NACIJA | Italija – Belgija | 1X | 1.40 | 70.5% | — | ❌ 0-2 |